Become a client Sonja Therese Schultz Director Client Services +41 79 960 40 88 business@wearewondrous.com. WONDROUS is an international digital experience company designing and developing best in class solutions that strengthen brands and businesses in today's world. By completing events with brand-new party members, you earn Second Chance points that can be spent in one of two ways. There is a whopping 81% chance that, at seven stickers, you’ll have zero lines currently completed, which means you’re still at the mercy of chance. You will receive a base reward for obtaining nine seals, and additional rewards for completing rows horizontally, vertically, or diagonally. My apologies for the earlier misinformation. Also, don’t Shuffle if you already have one line completed with just seven stickers. Considering every week you have a 11% chance of spending at least 2 points Shuffling, I don't personally foresee the 9 cap on Second Chance points being a problem. ...I'm really glad they added a /facepalm emote in this patch. Retry is a great thing when you have a bunch of content in your journal that you really don't want to do. So, it’s a favorable bet since the odds of winning are twice as high as losing, but you have a 2-in-3 chance of nothing happening. Furthermore, you have 93% chance of getting a journal which, at seven stickers, is physically impossible of getting three lines via the last two stickers. The Wondrous Tales - Chances of getting Lines [Wondrous Tales] Public. I'd write it if I had a place to host it. This forum post by Kaldiin shows the different possible ways of getting three … Second Chance points can only be obtained from duties that offer bonuses when one or more players are new to the duty. raw download clone embed print report [10:58 AM] Popowudu: it's 4 billion combinations when you take the specific sticker kind into account (which doesn't … Never Shuffle if your journal has three potential lines, regardless of whether or not you have any completed lines. Looking at this further, there was a bug in my simulation code which skewed the data. A new journal will be available from Khloe Aliapoh every … This is a journal with seven stickers with a checkerboard pattern. Would you go around in a big pointy hat on a broom? His role will be to lead the execution of our strategy and ensure that we are delivering on our purpose, to help our clients create organisations where people flourish so that businesses can … Exactly. Sep 26th, 2016. :) If you already have a line completed, it turns out there’s a 79% chance of Shuffling into a worse state, and only a 7% chance of Shuffling to a better state. Only available when current seal count is between three and seven. Description du logement. What do you mean by the 0.56% for 1 current, 1 potential? Hey Guys, I just was curious how many combinations exist for the number of lines for the Wondrous Tales, so I did a bit of Javascript to reveal it. Wondrous Tails Final Fantasy XIV Online: A Realm Reborn. At seven stickers, if you have any completed lines, don’t Shuffle. Tl;dr - A lot of numbers and analysis, but a very simple conclusion at the end. Geckos regularly shed their tails to escape predators, then regrow them. wondrous tails If players are in for a bit of RNG and dungeon or trials grinding, players can pick up their Wondrous Tails from Khloe Aliapoh in Idyllshire (x 5.7, y 6.1). If it’s only one possible line, Shuffle. wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails Dec 08, 2020 Posted By Jeffrey Archer Ltd TEXT ID 75263a23 Online PDF Ebook Epub Library ebook epub library wilsons wondrous tails nov 17 2020 posted by hermann hesse public library text id f523e193 online pdf ebook epub library wilsons wondrous tails oct EDIT: /u/moogle_home pointed out a flaw in my data that was introduced due to a bug in my simulation. Take your favorite fandoms with you and never miss a beat. | 1 potential | 2 potential | 3 potential -----|--------------|--------------|-------------- 0 current | Always Shuffle | Shuffle if you have lots of Second Chances | Don’t Shuffle 1 current | | Don’t Shuffle | Don’t Shuffle 2 current | | | Don’t Shuffle. It takes one of the sixteen events you've already completed, marks it incomplete, and marks another event complete. Now again, potential doesn’t equal results—you may still end up completing zero lines when all’s said and done—but considering how much better the higher rewards are, you should always Shuffle if your seven-sticker journal cannot possibly get two or three lines. We got a huge dump of news and reveals for Shadowbringers, though we had to wade through a pretty rough stream to get … <3 Non … http://ffxiv.gamerescape.com/wiki/Wondrous_Tails. First, journals with two or three potential lines have much better odds of better rewards. Wondrous Tales, Oakland, CA. So WT is part of the inspiration for me writing this, and the other part is a roleplay I had at an in-game wedding over on Sargatanas just before Patch 3.3 dropped. Note: You will only receive one Second Chance point per objective even if more than one party member is new to the duty. If you have a chance of getting two lines in your current journal, it’s automatically an above-average chance. If you ended up with: You would still only have one line. Now, it’s hard to compare the rewards directly and say how much better each reward is than the other. So basically, if you already did your Expert Roulette and now all you’ve got left is Extreme Primals, you can hit Retry, and then you can do a second Expert Roulette instead. Many lifetimes before, that is. It has zero current lines, and only a maximum of one potential line. Then, I broke these journals up by two metrics: how many lines were currently completed with just seven stickers, and how many lines could be potentially completed with the full nine. The site may not work properly if you don't, If you do not update your browser, we suggest you visit, Press J to jump to the feed. So imagine: There you have 1 line completed with 2 stickers to go. Upon completing the objectives corresponding to the squares in the journal, you will receive up to nine seals at random that can be added to your journal. So this is just a random lottery, right? Macintosh PlayStation 3 PlayStation 4 PlayStation 5. The Wondrous Tails shuffling problem can be reduced to the die rolling problem, except in this case we have 11440 faces (the number of different journals with 7 seals) and each face can have a value between 0 and 72 (the number of ways we can place the last 2 seals to satisfy our objective). A completed Wondrous Tails journal offers four different tiers of rewards, depending on if your nine stickers create three, two, one, or zero completed lines. So its not "maybe it will let you do expert again" its "you CAN do expert again". A hardcore crafter could desperately want the 1-line reward and have zero interest in the 2-line and 3-line rewards, so that would have a huge impact on how they Shuffle. Brumée, secteur 5, parcelle 35 [Grand] Message ♥BENVENUTI ALLA WONDROUS TAILS!♥ A journal to record stories of bravery and derring-do, lovingly crafted and illustrated by Khloe Aliapoh. Discover more posts about ffxiv-wondrous-tails. wondrous meaning: 1. extremely and surprisingly good: 2. extremely and surprisingly good: . Notes: So even though the RNG is annoying, I still love doing Wondrous Tails; the idea behind it is adorable, and Khloe is even moreso. Wondrous Tails can be unlocked at level 60 and will provide players with a series of randomized Dungeon or Trials that they must complete in order … So like the Mini Cactpot solver? Final Fantasy Wiki is a FANDOM Games Community. Not quite. Follow. So, for all of the different journals with different numbers of current and potential lines, how do the probabilities stack up? What I expected is that the selected duty would be unlocked, which happened. I wouldn't use ALL the Second Chances on this but I think I'm likely to get that Second Chance back doing Leveling Roulette. So basically, if all you’ve got left is Extreme Primals, you can hit Retry, and maybe it will let you do a second Expert Roulette instead. Do you ever wonder what you would do if you was a wizard ? Do you need tomestones? Fixed the example! And of course of 9 available duties guess which one the game picked? Thanks very much for bringing this to my attention. Log In … Now that we’ve asserted that you really want a rare journal that shows a lot of potential at seven stickers, let’s take a closer look at just the odds of each type of journal. Enjoy! If there’s two possible lines, Shuffle if you have a surplus of Second Chances. Khloe Aliapoh fears her stories are not quite what they used to be, as they no longer seem to lift the spirits of her troubled friend. Summary: Thancred Waters has crossed paths with the Warrior of Light, Trionfi Fortuna, many times before. By speaking with Khloe Aliapoh in Idyllshire , players may undertake weekly challenges. Receive a Wondrous Tails journal. Never . She sits at the roots of the Guardian Tree, listening to the whispers of the forest. Wondrous Tails is a feature in Final Fantasy XIV that will be added with Patch 3.4. Right... Ahh, so you can choose which one you want available again? With some randomized elements, Wondrous Tails is an interesting way to revisit old duties every week. Don’t do it. That's a fair point. Since I had a second chance I decided to use it to unlock another one. I did generalize pretty heavily about how desirable each reward is, compared to others. There are nine "stamps" which are awarded and subsequently placed on a 4x4 grid. For Final Fantasy XIV Online: A Realm Reborn on the PC, a GameFAQs message board topic titled "Wondrous Tails (Nov. 1 - Nov. 8)". If you could end up with three lines, don’t Shuffle. Please note that no two players will have all of the same objectives. And as you can see below there are only … Wondrous Tails #28: The End is NieR (for 5.0) October 15th, 2019 As 5.0 comes to an end, we discuss the unknown of 5.1 and if it will include bullet hells and mechs dropping into our apartments. I was only thinking about the DoW/DoM materia which is a lot easier to come by, and totally forgot the DoH/DoL materia. The liklihood of putting a stamp in the correct place requires an examination into the total number of obtainable combinations as well as the total … D'oh, that was a silly mistake. Therefore, don’t waste points on Retry, since it doesn’t increase your odds of better rewards. The base game starts with "A Realm Reborn" and currently has 3 expansions: "Heavensward", "Stormblood" and "Shadowbringers". If you Shuffle here, you have a 21% chance of getting a better state, and only an 11% chance of getting a worse state, but still a 68% of Shuffling into a state no-better-no-worse than you left off in. Adresse. So after carefully examining and talking to viewers we think we've figured out how the Wondrous Tails journals are going to work in Patch 3.4. ffxivmingxiajiang. I imagine that many people are currently drowning in Second Chance points now, with the patch having just been released. What I did not expect is that a random one would be blacked out. Furthermore, it cant really hurt to use it if you're about to cap at 9 second chance points and theres a new person bonus, because it lets you get that second chance point. You're correct that a 1 current, 1 potential journal is not possible. 62 likes. There're 16 tails in 4 lines, let talk about them: 1. Just to make sure we’re on the same page, let’s run a few examples: This is a journal with seven stickers, two current lines, and a third potential lines if the last two stickers complete the upper-left-to-lower-right diagonal. I know that the earlier version of this post advocated Shuffling away a completed line in some situations, and that ruffled a lot of feathers in the comments section. If we Shuffle that checkerboard, there’s a 11% chance we’ll end up with an equally awful journal, but we have an impressive 89% of getting a better journal with higher potential. Sign Up, it unlocks many cool features! This section is empty or needs to be expanded. All said, despite the randomness of sticker placement and Shuffling, and all the number crunching and simulations, the tl;dr optimal strategy for Wondrous Tails is deceptively simple. On the other end of the spectrum, as I mentioned earlier, you have an 11% chance of getting to seven stickers and being faced with an ugly checkerboard where it is physically impossible to get two lines. If you complete lv1-49, lv51-59 tails, get a sticker from it, just leave it there and continue on finishing all easy tails. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. There should be enough options that you can find nine easy-ish ones, especially now that more people will be doing older content. This forum post by Kaldiin shows the different possible ways of getting three lines with nine stickers. Log in Sign up. Personally if I was approaching the cap on Second Chance points, I'd rather burn the points on that risky 0-complete 2-potential scenario, since that's still contributing to more chances of the 2-lines reward. * Compagnies libres du même Monde. Mea culpa! As such, some of the information might be inaccurate or likely to change. Once you reach seven stickers, there’s only around a 7% chance that you’ll be poised toward one of the three-line layouts from Kaldiin’s post. The first Second Chance ability is called Retry. [Meetings in Alternate Universes based on prompts from the Wondrous Tails Writing Challenge for my Warrior of Light. I've updated my post to use the correct data, which changes a few of the numbers but doesn't dramatically change the tl;dr. A project for someone a lot smarter than me could be a webpage where you can check boxes according to what 7 stickers you currently have, and it would give your chances of the various results and a recommendation of whether to shuffle or not. I’m making the base assumption that the average person would greatly prefer the two-line and three-line rewards, but your personal preferences might differ. -----|--------------|--------------|-------------- 0 current | 11.47% | 67.69% | 1.89% 1 current | | 13.64% | 5.03% 2 current | | | 0.28% Total | 11.47% | 81.33% | 7.20%. If you have a surplus of Second Chances and are at risk of capping, Shuffle once or twice. Roulettes are just chores, I don't play video games to carry people (all DF) and do chores. Fill it with tales of your adventures and return it to the imaginative Miqo'te child, and she just may have a special gift for you! Depending on the exact layout, you have between a whopping 92.8% to 99.7% chance of Shuffling into a worse state, so enjoy your lucky journal. Wondrous Tails is a feature in Final Fantasy XIV that will be added with Patch 3.4. wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails Dec 15, 2020 Posted By Edgar Rice Burroughs Publishing TEXT ID b527d9ed Online PDF Ebook Epub Library last version wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails uploaded by debbie macomber wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails dec 06 2020 … Khloe Aliapoh fears her stories are not quite what they used to be, as they no longer seem to lift the spirits of her troubled friend. I think for most people - the 200 scriptures is a nice bump in progression. A community for fans of Square Enix's popular MMORPG "Final Fantasy XIV Online", also known as FFXIV or FF14. You can help the Final Fantasy Wiki by. Recent Top. I planned on using Retry on the 1-49 dungeon option because I like doing leveling roulette. Wondrous definition: If you describe something as wondrous , you mean it is strange and beautiful or... | Meaning, pronunciation, translations and … When you complete an objective with one or more party members who are new to the duty, you will receive one Second Chance point. It takes one of the sixteen events that you’ve already completed, marks it complete, and marks another event incomplete. Wedding. If you think about that for a second, it’s completely obvious. Not a member of Pastebin yet? Wondrous Welcomes Richard Goold as CEO Richard has worked in consulting for over 20 years at various organisations including KPMG. The last two stickers might complete one of the vertical lines, one of the horizontal lines, or the diagonal line, but there is no placement of the last two stickers that will complete two or three lines simultaneously. Going to adapt this advanced theory/recommendation to the wiki! Please look over our. Wondrous Tails #17 Technical Difficulties May 29th, 2019 We pretend we have bad microphones like the producers do and break down what stuck out to us from the live letter. Looks like you're using new Reddit on an old browser. About half of my journal is something like T9, PVP, T1, etc...and those got old a while ago. The other Second Chance ability, Shuffle, is where we want to focus. This is my stance too. In the case you exceed the reward period for a Wondrous Tails journal, you may speak with Khloe Aliapoh to exchange it for a new one. Original and traditional fantasy stories for kids and adults And further, the rewards of the next journal might be different, too. A fourth expansion, titled "Endwalker", has been announced to launch in Fall 2021! Basically you just watch PF for your target content and go... which seems to defeat the purpose of widespread help for new players looking to clear. But if the tails are lv1-49, lv51-59, you have less chance to complete it. She sits at the feet of her … You can't get me to do roulettes every day, so for me its nice. Besides getting the 3 line - and only if the reward is an upgrade/worth selling anyways, for people concerned with gear progression, 2 line is optimal. By speaking with Khloe Aliapoh in Idyllshire, players may undertake weekly challenges. Are you a crafter who really needs that Tier V materia? wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails Dec 10, 2020 Posted By Gérard de Villiers Publishing TEXT ID b527d9ed Online PDF Ebook Epub Library susan castriota creator of the childrens book series wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails nov 29 2020 posted by danielle steel public library text … And that’s just a 7% chance to have the potential to get three lines; your odds of actually getting it at that point only end up around 3%. Tall Tales are lengthy, story driven Quests in Sea of Thieves that are accessed via Tale Books given by various NPCs who direct players towards grand adventures to uncover secrets of The Sea of Thieves. Wait until exactly seven stickers before considering to Shuffle. Shuffle (2 points): Shuffle the position of all seals in the journal. The first Second Chance ability is called Retry. How do market prices of the sellable goods compare on the Market Board? Tl;dr - A lot of numbers and analysis, but a very simple conclusion at the end. That’s better than the default chance of 0.21% for three lines, but still, it’s rare. wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails Dec 23, 2020 Posted By Zane Grey Library TEXT ID b527d9ed Online PDF Ebook Epub Library be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails uploaded by robin cook wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails dec 10 2020 posted by gerard de villiers publishing wondrous tails chances (napkin math) a guest . When you have received nine seals for your journal, deliver it to Khloe Aliapoh, and she will reward you accordingly. policy for updating articles covering upcoming games, The Singularity Reactor (The Minstrel's Ballad: Thordan's Reign), The Final Steps of Faith (The Minstrel's Ballad: Nidhogg's Rage), The Royal Menagerie (The Minstrel's Ballad: Shinryu's Domain), Castrum Fluminis (The Minstrel's Ballad: Tsukuyomi's Pain), The Dying Gasp (The Minstrel's Ballad: Hades's Elegy), https://finalfantasy.fandom.com/wiki/Wondrous_Tails?oldid=3233639. A Wondrous Tails journal can only be kept for two weeks starting from the Tuesday when it was first issued, before it must be handed in for a reward. I might be proven wrong, but we'll see. Otherwise, look at how many potential lines could be completed with your last two stickers. Wondrous Tails is a level 60 weekly activity that allows players to complete old content to earn rewards. I learned this the hard way. wondrous tails wilson wont be bullied and neither will you was wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails aug 31 2020 posted by frederic dard ltd text id 75263a23 online pdf ebook epub library of various vegetables author abra berens chef farmer midwesterner shares a group of procedures that lead to new flavors … It's just more likely that if you have 1 line at 7 stickers, that you finish two lines at 9. Listen Now. Now that the topic has been updated with correct data, Esdarke is completely correct that you never want to Shuffle away a complete line. Just so you know, your first example is an 8 sticker box, need to make the top left an underscore, for it to work. 1st line: you can finish those with daily roulettes. Speak with the NPC Khloe Aliapoh in Idyllshire (X:5.7 Y:6.1) to receive a journal containing sixteen objectives. [shrugs] To each their own. One line is the maximum potential of this journal. A Wondrous Tails calculator for Final Fantasy XIV to help you decide whether to Shuffle your Journal. This is great. text 3.67 KB . This pastebin has the full results of the simulation, but there’s a few important takeaways that jump out. Chapter 0 - Prolouge, Episode 1 of Wondrous Tails in WEBTOON. There exist 11,440 different patterns for the whole thing. So, you can’t wait until the journal is complete and spam Shuffle until you win. Join our main character Thomas Tailor and his twin James Tailor 16 year old boys, on there … Wondrous Tails. wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails Dec 12, 2020 Posted By Irving Wallace Publishing TEXT ID b527d9ed Online PDF Ebook Epub Library statistics 5th edition wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails dec 07 2020 posted by john grisham public library text id b527d9ed online pdf ebook epub Post has been updated to reflect the corrected data, and some conclusions have been slightly adjusted as a result. If you’re low on Second Chances, then just keep this journal and save the Second Chances for the much worse 0-current 1-possible journals. Defining the liklihood of lining up three rows in Wondrous Tails is multi-step process. For most people the modern world is a wondrous place full of medicine and food and fizzy drinks in vending machines. A PROTEIN that helps geckos regrow their tails could help people regenerate lymph vessels. That would be amazing. You can receive up to nine points, which can be used in two ways: Once you have unlocked Wondrous Tails, it is possible to receive Second Chance points even if you do not currently possess a journal. Learn more. Get to know us. This is going to happen to you 68% of the time. But after a flaw in my simulation was pointed out and I reran the data, it turned out the commenters were right all along. I believe it means that you have a 0.56% overall for getting only 1 line at 9 when you start with 1 line at 7. I had completed 7 tasks and there was just one left that I could do comfortably. Wonderous Tails, Wondering Tales OmegaCaeli. And this is where Shuffle comes in. You've got complete and incomplete the wrong way around. I really dig Wonderous Tails, but I really wish that it was accompanied by a DF change to uncapped primal/raid content. Again, we’re looking at each possible journal of seven stickers, broken down by its number of current line and its maximum number of potential lines. Retry (1 point): Restore the status of a completed duty to incomplete, while rendering the status of an incomplete duty to complete. In this episode, I unlock and explore the features of the Wondrous Tails featured added to Final Fantasy XIV in Patch 3.4. The second immediate conclusion is that crappy journals are common and great journals are rare. Notice how this has nothing to do with lines and sticker placement. 1 Mechanics 1.1 Tale Books 1.2 Quest Items 1.3 Journals & Collectibles 1.4 Checkpoints 1.5 Rewards 2 The … I think the safest thing to say here is that journals with zero current lines and two possible lines are the place to burn excess Second Chances. 74 . Or also perhaps, getting a 1-potential journal, Shuffle, end up with another 1-potential journal, Shuffle it again. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Sure, the Ornate stuff might sell better, but the chances of actually getting it are so absurdly low, I would rather get a Command V and either sell it or keep it for down the road. A journal with one potential line, by our definition, has a 0% chance of getting two lines, which drags the average down. Journals with zero completed lines and two possible lines are the tricky case. (You can only receive one seal per objective.). Take up Khloe's journal, the Wondrous Tails, and fill it with pages of your own adventures, that she might be inspired to write new stories of her own! Wilson Wont Be Bullied Willie Wilsons Wondrous Tails Uploaded By Astrid Lindgren, wilson wont be bullied willie wilsons wondrous tails nov 29 2020 posted by danielle steel public library text id f523e193 online pdf ebook epub library ebook epub library wondrous tails wilson wont be bullied is an effective means for … This article or section is about a title that's still to be released. Furthermore, these two reddit posts by /u/DoctorBobtastic and /u/bathacker found the odds of each reward tier: Stickers are placed at random positions in your journal, and you can’t earn more than nine stickers. Instead, we Shuffle earlier if the incomplete journal looks unfavorable. or would you use it to bring harm to people? One limitation is that Shuffle may only be used on journals that have between three and seven stickers. This will take your existing stickers and shuffle them on the 4x4 grid. Times, Sunday Times (2014) How tempting it is to linger in this wondrous place, but we must hurry. She sits in a quiet room, poring over the history of Gridania, of Gelmorra, and of the Twelveswood. Please note that no two players will have all of the same objectives. EDIT: MORE IMPORTANTLY, this comment thread reflects the original post where I was using some flawed data. This means that we can use Shuffle to get rid of bad journal layouts and hopefully roll for a better one. I wrote a little computer simulation to run through every possible journal with seven stickers, assessing the odds of what will happen when we get that eighth and ninth sticker. And there’s no point in Shuffling at three stickers when we can hardly tell what the journal looks like, therefore we’ll always wait until seven stickers to consider Shuffling. That's 4 Second Chance points being burned in a single week. Actually retry works slightly different, you specifically choose which one to make available again, and it blacks out a random one. Times, Sunday Times (2013) But it isn't the place of wondrous bounty he had dreamed of. It should be: It takes one of the sixteen events that you've already completed, marks it incomplete and marks another event complete. Retrying them into dungeon roulettes was a good thing, especially since I don't have to bother with making a PF or finding people to run it with me. So here’s where the math starts. A completed Wondrous Tails journal offers four different tiers of rewards, depending on if your nine stickers create three, two, one, or zero completed lines. Normally focus on lv50, lv60, l70 tails. After completing the quest Keeping Up with the Aliapohs, speak with the NPC Khloe Aliapoh in Idyllshire (X:5.7 Y:6.1) to receive a journal containing sixteen objectives. But I suspect that it's going to get significantly harder to get them after a couple of weeks, until 3.5 rolls around.
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